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15 December 2014

Autumn roller-coaster: Fidesz popularity fell in November

Public support for governing centre-right Fidesz-KDNP party alliance dropped sharply according to the results of latest TARKI Omnibus survey conducted in November. Among the eligible voters 25 percent would have voted for Fidesz in November, while 37 percent was registered in October, after the local election that was won by Victor Orban's alliance. One third drop of party supporters is unprecedented even-though high value measured in October was somewhat exaggerated due to the so called band wagon effect after the glory of the local election (i.e. more people said that they would vote for the party they perceived as the strongest one).
Parties of opposition have not profited much from diminishing public support for the ruling parties, while undecided and non-responding groups increased 10 points to 44 percent. Extreme right Jobbik would have got 12 percent and the largest left-wing party, the Socialist would have got 11 percent of eligible voters' ballots in a general election. Consequently, Fidesz-KDNP is still the most preferred party in Hungary.

Support for Fidesz-KDNP among eligible voters, January, 2014-November, 2014 (%)

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